Shortly after the launch of ChatGPT, technology experts realised early on that they were not just witnessing another trend that would soon die down again. Comparisons were quickly drawn with another major technology launch: Generative AI had its iPhone moment with ChatGPT.
If we take this comparison further, we are only at the beginning of a significant development. Compared to today's smartphone models, the first iPhone was more of a promise of the future. And this is exactly how we should categorise the first generation of generative AI: They are a preview of developments to come and, at best, we can only guess today in which direction they will develop.
We are still a long way from general AI
As impressive as today's AI tools make us believe they are intelligent, they are not yet intelligent themselves. They appear intelligent to us because they can recognise and reproduce patterns in gigantic mountains of data. This means they have taken a major step forward in their development. However, today's AI tools are still a long way from being powerful AI.
AI researchers understand this to mean "Artificial General Intelligence" (AGI), which is not only able to simulate human communication by recognising patterns. Rather, an AGI can understand or learn any form of intellectual task that a human being can perform. If the capabilities of an AI even exceed human intelligence, it is referred to as a superintelligence or singularity.
Both AGI and the singularity are currently regarded as theoretical constructs of technological futurology for which it is unclear whether they will ever become reality. The current generation of AI tools, on the other hand, are categorised as "weak AI". They are characterised as models that have no creativity of their own and are unable to learn new skills independently. Their strength lies in recognising patterns in large amounts of data (machine learning). Weak AIs perform clearly defined tasks according to a fixed methodology and are particularly suitable for recurring, complex tasks.
AI expert expects interactive AI to be the next step
ChatGPT as a text AI or DALL-E 3 as an image AI also belong to the category of weak AI. They can each fulfil their programmed tasks very well, but neither ChatGPT will suddenly generate images nor DALL-E 3 texts.
Since the development of an AGI is not yet in sight, but the tools of weak AI are already delivering very good results, their combination is a logical intermediate step. OpenAI, the provider of the two generative AI tools mentioned above, has already started working on this. The developers explain how this works in a blog post: